Races to watch in Obama's fight to hold Congress
Scranton, Pennsylvania/Washington - The eastern US state of Pennsylvania will be watched closely as Americans head to the voting booths on November 2 to choose leaders in Congress.
The state is often seen as an early indicator of national mood, because of its mix of rural and industrial areas, small towns, suburbs and urban Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. This means there's always a tug and pull between centre-right Republicans and centre- left Democrats.
This year, as opposition Republicans eye a takeover of Congress, the state features a competitive Senate race between Democrat Joe Sestak, a former Navy admiral and congressman who has been gaining steam, and Republican Pat Toomey.
Additionally, up to eight House races in the state could see Republicans take over seats now held by Democrats. That number includes seats in solidly Democratic strongholds, such as Scranton, where incumbent Paul Kanjorski could be ousted after a quarter century in Congress.
US President Barack Obama and his Democratic Party face a major challenge not just here, but nationwide when US voters select all 435 members of the House of Representatives, 37 members of the Senate and 37 governors.
Democrats are widely expected to lose seats and perhaps their majority in the House of Representatives, if not the Senate. Opposition centre-right Republicans are tapping into anger over the stagnant economy, with unemployment stuck at 9.6 per cent and home foreclosures continuing at or near a record pace.
In Ohio and Florida, which provided the nail-bitting conclusions to the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections, Republicans also stand to make big gains. The Politico newspaper counts six Democratic House seats in play in Ohio and four in Florida. The same could happen in New York, a traditional Democratic stronghold, where several seats in the rural part of the state are up for grabs.
Florida also features a three-way Senate race between conservative Hispanic Republican challenger Marco Rubio, Democrat Kendrick Meek and Charlie Crist, the state's governor who left the Republican Party to run as an independent candidate. The governor's race remains a toss-up between Democrat Alex Sink and Republican Rick Scott amid particularly high unemployment and home foreclosure rates.
Elsewhere, the Delaware Senate race will provide an initial indication of the strength of the conservative grassroots Tea Party movement, a Republican fringe group that has ousted some mainstream Republicans in favour of conservative candidates.
Republican Christine O'Donnell, who has drawn sharp criticism for bizarre decades-old comments on witchcraft, faces Democrat Chris Coons to take the seat once held by Vice President Joe Biden. Though Coons far outweighs O'Donnell in opinion surveys, the national attention she has drawn will make this an early race to watch.
Obama's former Senate seat is also a hot contest that could provide a symbolic victory for Republicans. Democrat Alexi Giannoulias faces Republican Mark Steven Kirk.
The plight of the Democrats is perhaps best embodied by the tenuous situation of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who faces a fierce challenge from Republican Sharron Angle, a Tea Party favourite, in the western state of Nevada. Polls a week before the vote showed the race on the edge, with a slight lead for Angle.
California, the most populous US state, features a big name governor race to replace action hero Arnold Schwarzenegger. Democrat Jerry Brown, who served as governor from 1975-1983, faces Republican Meg Whitman, former chief executive of eBay who has spent 150 million dollars of her own money on the race.
The state's Senate race also features a high profile woman from the tech sector, Republican Carly Fiorina, former chief executive of Hewlett-Packard, in a neck-and-neck race with longtime Senator Barbara Boxer.
Alaska also features a cast of colourful characters after incumbent Republican Lisa Murkowski refused to give up her bid to keep her seat despite losing in the intra-party primary to a Tea Party candidate. She now faces the conservative winner of the primary contest, Joe Miller, and Democrat Scott McAdams.
PREVIEW: Obama's agenda at risk in US mid-term elections
Washington - US President Barack Obama is bracing for a voter backlash in congressional elections next week that could put a severe dent in his remaining legislative priorities.
Obama's left-leaning Democrats, who have controlled both legislative chambers since 2006, are poised for major losses on November 2 when all 435 members of the US House of Representatives and 37 members of the 100-seat Senate stand for re-election.
Most political pundits predict conservative Republicans will win control of the House but face an uphill battle in retaking the Senate. At the very least, all sides agree that the Democratic Party's majorities will be sharply slimmed in both chambers.
The election comes after what many have termed the most ambitious legislative period since the 1960s, with major overhauls of the health insurance system, financial regulation and a massive 787- billion-dollar spending package designed to pull the US out of recession.
Yet each controversial and hard-won piece of legislation has further eroded Obama's political capital. Critics also argue the reforms have been at the expense of rescuing the world's largest economy from an ongoing slump that remains Obama's Achilles heel.
Unemployment remains near 10 per cent despite massive spending that has pushed the US budget deficit to record levels. Obama argues his policies saved the country from a far worse economic slump, but Republicans have capitalized on early White House promises to keep the jobless rate below 8 per cent. It has hovered at 9.6 per cent for months.
Facing an impatient electorate, Obama's failure to jump-start the economy has also reignited a broader distrust of government that is at the core of the conservative "Tea Party," a grassroots protest movement that exploded on the scene this election cycle.
Matt Dallek, a visiting scholar with the Washington-based Bipartisan Policy Center, said Obama's supporters shouldn't expect any more major "progressive" reforms championed by the left. The biggest casualties are likely climate change and energy and immigration reforms.
"It's highly unlikely that (Obama) will enact pieces of legislation on the scale of what he achieved during his first two years," said Dallek. "Expectations within the White House are going to have to be recalibrated."
The deep frustration among US voters has pushed Obama's approval ratings consistently below 50 per cent and sparked a broader disenchantment with all incumbent lawmakers. Approval ratings for Congress are near an all-time low of 20 per cent.
Just two years after his meteoric rise to the presidency, Obama's own role in the mid-term election has been curtailed. Democrats in swing districts have been reluctant to campaign with the president or trump his biggest legislative accomplishments.
Obama has instead stuck mostly to rallying voters in more reliably Democratic states and sent more popular "surrogates," including his wife Michelle, to convince the public in independent-minded states.
Yet the looming Democratic losses on November 2 are also part of normal political headwinds running against the party. Presidents ranging from Republican Ronald Reagan to Democrat Bill Clinton suffered big electoral defeats two years after first being elected.
This voter rebuke means presidents have typically been forced to scale back political agendas in the second half of their terms, according to Fred Beuttler, the House of Representatives' acting historian.
"The most productive time that a president will have is their first year of their first Congress," Beuttler said. "Youve got maybe that 15 months, perhaps, to get as much as your legislative agenda passed as possible."
Voters in the US have also long been wary of keeping one party in control of Congress and the White House, unlike in parliamentary systems in Europe and elsewhere.
"The American political system dynamic is not designed for a single party rule," said Buettler. The divide can either lead to a stalemate or force the two parties to find common ground.
While partisanship in the US Congress has reached a fever pitch in the last few years, Dallek believes Obama and Republicans could find deals on more limited issues, such as tax cuts for small businesses, and smaller elements of immigration and energy reform.
"Republicans may well decide that it is in their political interest to support legislative items ... that comport with their ideology," Dallek said. "The White House may want to to do that as well."
Billionaire Soros gives million dollars to legal marijuana bid
San Francisco - Liberal financier and philanthropist George Soros has donated 1 million dollars to the campaign to legalize marijuana in California, organizers said Tuesday.
The money will be used to finance a last-minute advertising blitz in the huge American state which votes on the controversial ballot measure known as Proposition 19 on November 2, Dale Jones of the Yes on 19 campaign told reporters.
The measure would allow Californians over the age of 21 to grow a small amount of pot for their personal use. Local authorities would have the power to permit and tax marijuana production, and there would be stiff penalties for anyone caught selling cannabis to underage users.
Support for the measure has been flagging in recent weeks following statements of opposition by the US Attorney General Eric Holder and other prominent law enforcement figures. But the Soros donation could help educate voters about the benefits of the measure, Jones said in a conference call.
"Once people have read the initiative and understand Prop. 19 and see what it will and will not do, we see overwhelming support," she said. "Every bit that supporters chip in, more people will get the right message."
News of Soros' donation came after the Hungarian-born financier published an opinion piece in The Wall Street Journal promoting the measure.
"Regulating and taxing marijuana would simultaneously save taxpayers billions of dollars in enforcement and incarceration costs, while providing many billions of dollars in revenue annually," he wrote. "It also would reduce the crime, violence and corruption associated with drug markets, and the violations of civil liberties and human rights that occur when large numbers of otherwise law-abiding citizens are subject to arrest. Police could focus on serious crime instead."
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